'16 Playoff Predictions - #3 Admiral Kryptonite versus #6 MAMA said Knock you out

Fantasy Points Per Week: K – 911, MAMA – 817

Fantasy Points Per Game: K – 27.0, MAMA – 23.9

Games In Week One: K – 35, MAMA – 35

Projected Games in Week Two: K – 35, MAMA – 34

Personnel Notes:

K – Patrick Beverly (Added 1/31/16), Archie Goodwin (Added 1/31/16), and Willie Cauley-Stein (Acquired in trade involving Monta Ellis and George Hill), Devin Booker (Acquired in trade involving Rajon Rondo), Jerian Grant (Added 2/21/16)

MAMA – Stanley Johnson (Day to day), JaMychal Green (Added 2/21/16), Maurice Harkless (Added 2/21/16)

Can Klay Thompson help fuel an upset?

The most intriguing part of this matchup has to be how enigmatic these two teams are. Evolution has been the common theme here. Admiral Kryptonite has always been one of the more active teams in the transactions market and that is easily seen in the fact that Monta Ellis, George Hill, and Rajon Rondo have all been shipped off in the last month. Meanwhile, after starting 1-6, MAMA said Knock you out has won 8 of its last 9.

All of that is to say that even though Admiral Kryptonite has the clear advantage in both FPPW and FPPG on the season as whole, those numbers might be a bit misleading.

Furthermore, the game advantage seems to be basically nonexistent. So I guess we're going to have to take a closer look.

Last year, MAMA started the season red hot, with a record of 10-2 after 12 weeks, before stumbling in the final month. Despite that stumble, they finished 11-5 and held onto the #4 seed. From there, Rich put together a very nice run, averaging a hefty 1945 fantasy points across his 3 playoff matchups before falling to The-Soon-To-Be-Defending-Champions, Team Penetration in the championship.

The pattern with this team seems to be that they can go through spells of being very hot and very cold. Maybe that's just how it goes when your best players are shooting scorers like Klay Thompson and Gordon Hayward.

Meanwhile, despite what you might think with all the personnel changes, Admiral Kryptonite has had a rather consistent year. When looking at FPPW on the season, Admiral Kryptonite has the 3^rd lowest standard deviation and the 2^nd lowest range. Meaning, they stuck relatively close to their average FPPW all year.

But when your numbers are lower, inconsistency can be a good thing. For every bust, there is a boom. While it is not too unlikely that MAMA finishes this round with something in the range of 1350, it is just as likely that they drop something like 1950. And if its the latter, Admiral Kyrptonite is in from some trouble.

Over the last two matchups of the season, Admiral Kryptonite produced 1935 fantasy points while MAMA said Knock you out produced 1891.

In the end, I believe MAMA said Knock you out would have to step too far away from their average to overcome Admiral Kryptonite's consistency. And while this is certainly going be a close match, the conservative in me always like to take the consistent choice.

Also, I'm not afraid of any bitch ass jinx!

Prediction: Admiral Kryptonite